Inter Milan will look to seal their place in the 2022/23 UEFA Champions League quarter-finals when they travel to Portugal this Tuesday to face Porto in the second leg of their knockout tie.

Porto were narrowly beaten 1-0 in the first leg in San Siro, with a late Romelu Lukaku goal the difference that night. The defeat in Milan was followed up by another narrow 2-1 loss to Gill Vicente in the Portuguese league. However, ahead of this game, they have won back-to-back league wins, with a narrow 3-2 win over Estoril last weekend.

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With eight points behind Benfica in the Portuguese league, they will be desperate to go far into UCL to keep their season alive. Yet, history indicates their prospects of progressing beyond this state are slim, especially as the Portuguese side have been eliminated from six of their last seven two-legged UCL ties when trailing after the first leg.

However, Inter Milan come into this tie on the back of a poor showing in the league. Like their hosts, they are sitting second in the title race, a long way off Napoli after a shock 2-1 loss to strugglers Spezia.

The three-time UCL winners will look to immediately bounce back by building on their advantage from the first leg, but a less than inspiring record of just one win from their last eight away matches to Portuguese sides in European competition (D3, L4) indicates there is still plenty of work to be done.

Also, the fact that Porto have won each of their last four home European games against Italian sides should give the hosts some confidence that they can take advantage of Inter’s poor form and advance to the last eight for a third successive time.

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