Ever heard the phrase, “the house always wins?” It’s a reassurance that now matter what you play or how lucky you are, the game master always makes his profit; even when he is losing.
Truth is if you want to bet on sports and win big, you have to stop thinking about which odds to place or which games are the easiest and start thinking on how to beat the system so that you can one up bookmakers at every turn.
In this guide, we are going to share everything you need to know on how to win in Sports Betting.
These are hacks you will not find everywhere, that are purely about sports betting in general and will help you beat bookmakers at their own game repeatedly.
Why does this guide work?
To understand the guide, you first have to know why and how it works. To answer these questions, we have divulged 3 secrets below as a pre-game to the actual guide.
Here it goes… see if you can follow.
Providers direct attention toward form
Bookmakers make their money from and pay TV channels and affiliates from the prices they offer. But it doesn’t end there, it also applies to the events that you choose to bet on too.
So, these TV channels, bookies and affiliates, and social media will always send you to events where there is poor value and you are far less likely to win because of this low quality value.
Providers won’t send you to places where their sports books may have their incorrect pricings.
But this guide will show where you can find those weak pricings and also lay out the proposed five-step guide.
Winning in sports betting is not about picking a winner
Before you dive in, one thing you should get clear is that winning in sports betting is not about picking a winner.
It’s about getting the right price and then letting variance do the hard work for you.
For example, if there is a 50% chance of something happening and equivalent odds are:
| Decimal | 2.00 |
| Fractional | Evens (1/1) |
| Moneyline | 100 |
The price of your bet is:
| Decimal | 2.63 |
| Fractional | Evens (13/8) |
| Moneyline | 163 |
Difference of:
| Difference per £1000 bet |
| Profit/Loss – £630 |
Any bets you strike as above the current price is your overall margin. So, the next bet might not come in or be the winner.
But, overall a wider sample of bets, means that you can come out on top and you can always win through taking value in the marketplace.
Find odds which are above their value
While this sounds like an easy thing to do, it is actually hard to find odds which are above their market value, because bookmakers and sportsbooks do the complete opposite, which is to offer you odds below their true value in their alternate directions.
When they do this, they effectively give you shorter odds than the probable chance of something happening.
Now that we have discussed these secrets, beating the system is where these 5 steps come in.
5 Step-guide you must see on always winning sports betting
- Looking in the right place
- Direct comparison
- Be in the line
- Confirmation
- Understanding the process
1. Looking in the right place
There is no stated time or place where you can deploy this first step, but we can tell you what to look for.
There are a lot of different providers on sports like greyhound racing, and this is because it is a fast-moving marketplace. There are often lots of changes that happen in this event and it’s less interesting for them and their traders and their trading rooms.
This lack of interest makes it possible for you to pick up on changes before the providers do and skin them for it.
For horse racing, you would want to look at the lower quality horse races, especially the ones that happen on all weather turfs.
In Football look at the far lower leagues, the less interesting events. Although, football can be tricky because there are less opportunities for this to happen.
While you can replicate this move on some other of your favorite sports, it is important to know that the Greyhounds racing market is good and profitable place to try this because there is a race happening every few minutes, especially during evenings or summer season, and providers are not focused on the events and the general public is not focused as well, plus it is a fast changing market.
The faster you dig in on all the juicy odds the higher your chances of securing a good odds and an even better payout before the markets change and other bettors are left scrambling for the meager leftovers.
2. Direct comparison
There are betting exchanges and sportsbook exchanges that happen very close to the starting time or at starting time itself.
There is also the wisdom of the crowds and thousands of people placing bets, making this time the closest you will get to the value of the true price of something.
If you can find a direct comparison where the sportsbook odds are bigger than the exchange odds, then it is in your favor.
The bigger the disparity the better, therefore the bigger the disparity between two, the larger you should stake.
3. Be in the line
For a greyhound event, the prices change rapidly, but you managed to back it at the price it previously was; a far bigger price despite the price crashing late on.
Find fast moving odds on an event bookies are not monitoring and bet on their value.
However, also look for significant volume on the selection close to or at the start of an event.
So, if you backed a sportsbook odds of 3.75 at the starting price of 3.0, and backed on another betting site at 7 and the odds go nearer to 5.5. You can see where there is a significant gamble or there is some money coming down on this selection that shortened the odds significantly, but you got far bigger than what was actually valued at the start.
4. Confirmation
When you see odds with these confirming signals – price difference, exchange volumes and close to the start, that is when you must strike.
As we said, the bigger the disparity of the odds, the bigger the gamble. The closer it is to the start, preferably on the start or even if it is slightly delayed after the start.
When you have ticked off these three things, that is when you can place your bets.
Over a long period of time, you will emerge as a consistent winner when you do this.
5. Understanding the process
Understanding the process, understanding the why of this strategy is important and then repeating this over a longer sample.
You must play the long game. You must allow variance to play out with that probability. Allow those losses to happen, allow the wins to happen and see the difference.
You can track this sequence ideally on a spreadsheet and in doing so, realize that it is part of the process.
Keep in mind that although you will remain a “winner” for any sports you bet on, over the long term there will be some losses that will occur.
But what you are doing is sensible, calculated, and you understand that making plans for short-term is not the way to win through sports betting.
Conclusion:
Note, the hacks we showed you in this guide, might get you in trouble with several bookmakers, owing to the fact that you constantly win all the bets you placed with them.
However we will be showing you how you might want to maneuver the ban that is likely to be placed on your account after you follow this guide.
One way to avoid getting restrictions on your account (and this is entirely up to you) is that you might need to create different accounts with different bookmakers and different sportsbooks as well because you do not want to lose your accounts or the commissions coming in from them because you figured out how to beat the system. Providers do not want to keep paying out to you as they are there to make money from you, not lose to you.
Lastly, keep in mind that the biggest problem you might face following the strategies we gave is bankroll. This is because there is going to be a sequence of losing events at some point in time.
However, if you take value on those bets over a period of time that they are being bet on at their best point, when they are closest to their true odds or true value, then you will emerge a winner.
You would be surprised at how often these types of situations can happen in different sports events, whether cricket, tennis, basketball, or horse racing.
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