Monaco Vs Bordeaux Match Preview, Soccer Prediction and Betting tips

AS Monaco’s 3-3 draw with struggling Toulouse the last time out was a surprising result and sees them fail to solidify their position in second place behind PSG. Apart from that result, they have looked pretty solid recently and they had won 4 games on the bounce before that match with Toulouse. Having been dumped out of the Champions League last year, they now look to be back to their finest form and would be looking for another Champions League qualification and winning the French Cup by the end of the season. With 11 league games to go, they are now 2 points above 3rd placed Marseille and 7 points above 4th places Olympique Lyon. Radamel Falcao has been out with injury, but he could be back for this game. The Colombian has scored 17 goals in 20 games this season. Bordeaux also started their season poorly, but they have managed to turn things around over the past months. Although they have collected just 1 point from their past two games, they are still 8th on the league table and would likely end up in a Europa League place at the end of the season. Before their last two games, they had won 4 games on the bounce and Gus Poyet would be hoping his players can get back to winning ways here. They have won 16 and lost 10 of their last 36 games against Monaco. Over 2.5 goals scored is our tip for this game.

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Borussia Monchengladbach Vs Werder Bremen, Match Preview, Soccer Predictions, and Betting Tips

Gladbach’s 1-0 win over Hannover 96 last week was a welcome boost to their morale after suffering 4 straight losses. They are now back in contention for a European place as they sit just 4 points off the top six. Christoph Kramer’s goal may have helped them to victory in that game, but they are still without a host of first-team players including Raffael, Oscar Wendt and Fabian Johnson. Bremen also earned a morale-boosting win in the derby over Hamburg the last time out, and that has helped in their fight to avoid relegation this season. Johannsson’s winner helped them to move 6 points clear of the automatic relegation place and 2 points clear of the relegation playoff spots. They head into this game with an away record that would worry their fans with just 2 wins from their last 8 away games in the league. These two sides are low scoring teams, with Gladbach the lowest scoring team inside the top ten and Bremen are the joint 3rd lowest from the bottom half of the league table. Gladbach have a good record at home, however, it is very unlikely that they would record a dominant here as they have been suffering some goal drought this season with under 2.5 goals scored in 67% of their home games this season. A low scoring home win for Gladbach is our tip for this game.

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FC Porto vs Sporting Lisbon Match Preview, Soccer Prediction and Betting tips

Two of Portugals top three lock horns together in this game as FC Porto look to extend their unbeaten start to the season, can Sporting Lisbon upset the Dragons here or would they fall to a second loss in the league this season? Sporting would be worried about their terrible record in this fixture over the years as they trail the host by 5 points heading into this match. A defeat here would end their hopes of winning the league title and would also be a major blow to their chances of making it to next season’s Champions League. Porto have 10 wins from their last 11 league matches and they have won 9 of their last 11 encounters with Sporting over the years, this game looks likely to end in another home win for them. The Dragons beat Sporting in the Portuguese Cup recently and with Sporting winning just 3 of their last 7 away games in the league, it is hard to see them stopping Porto here. Tiquinho has scored 8 goals in his last 6 games including the winner against Sporting when they last met, he could be the difference maker in this game. A home win for FC Porto is our tip for this game.

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The best way to get an edge in betting

What serious bettors want the most is to gain an advantage over whoever is laying their bet whether they are bookmakers or casino. This is called having an edge over them, and if you are serious about becoming a successful bettor, you need to understand what it really means. What’s the margin between success and failure in betting? One of the most popular clichés in journalism is – the margin between success and failure slim. However, the margin between making a profit and losing all your bankroll in betting is dependent on the bookmaker you choose to bet with. Many bettors are oblivious to the impact of margins, however, this does not stop it from being fundamental to making money in betting. At Matchplug we pick the games with the most appropriate margins, therefore, offering bettors a greater chance of winning. Knowledge gives you power The first step to identifying the advantage a bookmaker holds over you is to understand margins. The next thing you can do after understanding margin is to find ways to prevent them from using their edge over you. The single most powerful way to get an advantage over a bookmaker is to find and bet on markets where you have more information about than they do. The simple truth is that, although bookmakers are experienced and they have tools that can help them, they have their weaknesses too.  A perfect example is the minor leagues. Most bookmakers offer minor leagues just to differentiate themselves from competitors not because they are experts in those leagues. They may find it hard to understand the dynamics of the third division of the Russian Volleyball league, yet they still offer bets in those areas where they are weak, but you can be very knowledgeable yourself in those areas and that gives you an advantage over the bookmakers. You need to keep your ear on the ground Knowledge as many see it is only potential power, and it alone cannot guarantee success. If whatever information you get is already common, it would have already impacted the odds. The real value, therefore, comes from information from the horse’s mouth. Twitter has taken centre stage in terms of how fast information are disseminated, but it has also helped to reduce the time it takes for an information to become common as well as increased the amount of false information being shared. Betting different from popular opinion If given the chance would you rather bet on an event that is unknown instead of one whose information is available? The latter is obviously the best option.  Getting an edge over the bookmakers definitely requires having an insight into the envelope before the award’s winner is announced. Information is always getting leaked either sometimes verbally, or in other ways. The results may not be entirely known, but motivation makes it very predictable. Take a look at reality TV shows, for example, every participant is talented in their own way, but the talent is not the only thing being considered. Controversies surrounding a particular participant would play a key role in whether they stay long in the show or not, you should research other things about the shows like program ratings also if you are betting on it. Understanding Cross-Correlation Cross-correlation and dependencies are very important in betting and understanding them gives you a huge edge. If you can focus on anticipating bad weather and correlate them with certain results in a particular sport,  you may establish yourself as an expert in winning bets based on whether bad weather causes low scoring outcomes or not. Sign Up for Matchplug now and get the tips which are guaranteed to have an edge over the bookmakers.    

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