What are some proven football prediction strategies you know of?
The decision of every bettor to find the best and most profitable football betting scheme inspired the creation of new prediction strategies that constantly appear around the world.
However, not all bettors can find a profitable strategy when betting for football, mainly because almost every system has a chance of losing.
For this post, we’ll analyze the best football prediction strategies, and drop some tips for succeeding in the world of football betting too.
We will also discuss the importance of prediction strategies, how to develop yours, some minimal-risk football prediction strategies you can back, and top tips to help you predict the outcome of events more accurately.
Related: How To Develop A Winning Strategy For Football Predictions
Article Guide:
- Why Football Prediction Strategies Are Important
- How To Develop Proven Football Prediction Strategies
- 10 Proven Football Prediction Strategies
- Top Tips For Using Proven Football Prediction Strategies Effectively
Why Football Prediction Strategies Are Important
The farther you go in Football Prediction, the more natural it feels for you to want to improve your skills so that you win more bets and earn higher payouts.
This is when you start tweaking and reforming your methods so that they can increase your chances of placing successful wagers.
Doing all these feels good and is a smart move to make, but you can’t do them without creating a well-thought plan that consistently sets you up for success, no matter the wager you’re making. This is where developing a strategy comes in.
In this part, we list some reasons why football prediction strategies are important.
1. Football Prediction Strategies Improves Betting
Having certain football prediction strategies that you work with is important if you are a bettor who does sports betting as a business and is in it for long-term success.
This means you’ll need to allot more of your time to learn the existing betting strategies and create a good success plan. Doing this is vital, given the unpredictability of football betting.
Base your strategies on value betting – finding games where the odds presented do not reflect the probable outcome of a match.
2. You Will Easily Identify Working Strategies
The more you use football prediction strategies, the easier it will be for you to identify which ones suit you the most, fit your budget, and match your risk level. You’ll find it easy to build a model that simplifies wagers and makes them profitable for you.
Additionally, a personalized prediction strategy differentiates you from other bettors and boosts your chances of winning. This is because a Prediction site for football can incorporate popular online prediction strategies into their model and mitigate them as much as they can.
Do well to develop your unique selling point or value proposition.
3. Helps You Base Bets On Logical Strategies
When you follow the guideline surrounding Football Prediction to arrive at which methods work for you or not, you’ll be able to curb the risks that come with betting based on emotions. You’ll then base your bets on logical strategies.
4. Navigate Online Sportsbook Quicker
Following a strategy assists you in navigating online sportsbooks quicker because you already know what to look for, this also leads to a better experience.
From the top, you’ll eliminate bets that don’t fit your risk profile and chase lucrative ones that are more to your taste.
How To Develop Proven Football Prediction Strategies
Changing or improving your prediction strategies is a good exercise to engage in. But one question, how are you going to do this?
Here, we discuss the best ways to develop proven football prediction strategies:
1. Read And Research On Prediction Strategies
You can use a Football prediction site like MatchPlug which covers many types of prediction strategies to do this. From your research, you’ll form a solid basis for your strategies and plans.
2. Monitor The Markets And Matches You Want To Wager On
The introduction of technology like VAR into football has influenced the number of penalties awarded in football. This can form the foundation for a strategy.
Similarly, be on the lookout for trends that emerge. However, ensure that these trends are backed by facts and data.
3. Find Influencing Variables
The third step to take in developing proven football prediction strategies is to find factors that influence these methods.
One can be a small stadium that makes conceding corners easier for teams. Or a bad pitch that won’t favour clubs that play an attacking style of football in a game.
4. Test And Edit Strategies
After you’ve selected a strategy, the next thing for you to do is test it out and make edits where necessary.
You can start with small stakes and examine how well you’ve done with the wagers you placed using these strategies.
With every outcome, try new ways you can adjust the strategy to add the factors you overlooked or eliminate variables that do not influence results.
Read: Strategies for Analyzing and Interpreting Football Prediction Site Data
10 Proven Football Prediction Strategies
There are lots of different football prediction strategies that work, but the real key here is to get one that works for you.
While some strategies focus on getting you the highest return possible, others focus on minimizing risks.
We have listed 10 of the proven football prediction strategies, read through them and see if you can find one that suits you best.
1. Value Betting
Value betting entails placing high-value bets. This describes odds where the chances of an outcome are greater than the odds suggest.
Football odds represent the ratio between risk and reward. The ideal value bet is one that has minimal risk but the potential for high payouts.
The simplest way to identify value bets is to calculate the implied probability of the odds on the sportsbooks and compare them with the probability you got based on your personal knowledge. The larger the discrepancy between the bookmaker’s implied probability and your prediction, the greater the value of that bet.
Value can be represented in practice, when a bettor backs only odds that have a difference of 20% or higher, from the probability implied by the bookmakers to their probability prediction.
2. Value-Based Staking
In Value-Based Staking, bettors focus mainly on how much they should wager. With this strategy, you stake an amount on odds proportional to your perceived value.
For instance, seeing moneyline odds that don’t line up in any way with your predictions, then staking a large amount on it as you perceive this to be an extremely high-value bet.
Similarly, if you come across odds that conform closely to your predictions, you wager a smaller amount as a way to mitigate your risk.
To simplify this, with a value-based staking strategy, you wager an amount based on the value of the odds. For your odds to be profitable, the higher the value of the odds, the more you wager, and vice versa.
3. Situational Football Betting Strategy
When using situational football betting strategies, look for wagers that are very favourable to the exact conditions or situation surrounding a football game. The more wagers available, the more situations for you to study.
If the situation is that the weather is windy on match day, focus on how this will affect the players’ performance on the field. High winds often mean a lower-scoring match. Exploit this information by selecting a wager that works best for low-scoring events.
Such a bet may be a total bet on the ”under” to take unfavourable conditions into consideration.
Some other situations include injury reports, match significance, recent form, etc. Understanding the context of a match is one of the best prediction methods to help you decide what type of wager will improve your winning chances.
4. Backing The Home Underdog
Backing the home underdogs often offer higher payout potentials than supporting the favourites. No one expects them to win, so the odds will be higher. Higher odds equal higher payouts but also mean higher risks.
However, the risk may be an illusion if the underdog in question is the home team. The home crowd create a supportive aura which can sway the game in favour of the underdogs.
When you back the underdogs, you’re hoping that the home supporters will boost the players’ performance on the field. Drawing inspiration from the theory that supports fans makes home teams more successful, thus pushing the odds in the underdogs’ favour.
Backing the home underdog to win a match is an easy yet effective prediction strategy for wagering on football odds. This is more potent when the odds are close enough so that a slight push from the fans can send the underdogs over the top.
But, if the odds are very far apart, then don’t back the home underdogs to win.
5. Bounce Back Football Betting Strategy
The bounce-back football betting strategy is based on the idea that teams seek redemption. If a football club has been on a losing streak, they are more motivated to get back on the winning saddle. This spurs them to work harder, give better performances, and push for a win.
The theory that drives this strategy is that a club will show a significant improvement in performance if they faced an unexpected loss, were badly defeated, or suddenly lost in the last minutes of a match.
It is based on the notion that some setbacks will improve performance in the next match for two reasons.
First, they’re more motivated to win. Second, they’ll be more extensive in their analysis of the match to find what they did wrong and focus on ensuring that they don’t have the same slip-ups in their next matches.
Note, not every squad can come back from a heartwrenching match, so ensure that you know which teams can do this and the ones that keep losing after a series of defeats. By doing this you’ll be more confident in your predictions of a team’s ability or lack to redeem themselves in their next game.
Read also: 7 Tips for Making Accurate Football Predictions
6. Double Chance Football System
Following this Football Prediction strategy doubles your chances of winning, by placing one bet on multiple outcomes. This method is patronized by conservative bettors who want to reduce their risk.
A football game has three probable outcomes – home team win, away team win, or draw. When backing a double chance bet, you’ll pick two out of these three outcomes – reducing your assumed risk to 33%.
This type of best doesn’t offer high payouts, but this is okay because you aren’t taking a big risk. This strategy can pay off in the long run if you stick with it.
Additionally, the double chance football system is good for you if you are a rookie who just got started using a Football prediction site. By using this strategy as a training wheel, you won’t incur a ton of risks.
Gradually you’ll move on to moneyline bets where you can pick just one outcome and earn more lucrative payouts.
Double chance football betting strategy will show you the ropes of betting on soccer which can be a lot to process at first.
7. Catch-UP
The catch-up system exists to double the amount of the next wage if you lost the previous one. After winning, the betting stake will be reduced to the initial level.
Catch-up is used for accumulator bets. And one significant downside to this Prediction Strategy is that you can quickly lose your entire wager with 4 or more successive losses.
8. Surebets
In sure bets, you need to wager your bets on the opposite outcomes at odds, leaving you with profit no matter the results. This involves placing specific single bets with different bookmakers.
To make money off this strategy, find the most lucrative quotas from different bookies and calculate if they are truly sure bets.
Surebets can be done if you create different accounts with different bookmakers. This will help your bets catch the odd difference between different bookies only.
9. Total Under Betting
Back the total under-betting prediction strategy in live betting and is developed for the long runs. Just follow the course of events in life, and wager its bets on the total under at specific moments.
Pay attention to these tips:
- Avoid friendly matches.
- Don’t back matches between clear favourites and underdogs.
- Place your bets 15-20 minutes before the end of a half.
- Don’t bet on a match with too many dangerous attacks.
- Close your wager on a red card from either side.
10. Total Over Betting
Total overbetting is more applicable to live events, so monitor the course of matches. When predicting TO betting in live mode, follow these rules:
- Avoid matches between two underperforming clubs.
- Research possible lineups for the absence/presence of key defenders and forwards.
- Place your bets after the first 25-30 minutes of the event.
- Don’t bet on a game with fewer than 4-5 shots on target in the first 30 minutes.
- Bet with lots of dangerous attacks, no matter the side.
- A red card is a valid reason to back a total overbet.
Top Tips For Using Proven Football Prediction Strategies Effectively
Any football prediction strategy in this industry eventually comes to down to being carefully analyzed manually. Backing a sure bet is the only time you may not need to analyze any events.
But, these other proven football prediction strategies, although they are in fact PROVEN, might not guarantee 100% every time you use them. It’s football, anything is possible. This is why you should strive to perform an in-depth analysis of the event.
We have gathered some tips that help you use football prediction strategies more effectively when predicting the outcome of a match.
- Calm down when you wager your bets and don’t let emotions get the best of you.
- Analyze the past events of the opposition, even face time.
- Research club lineups for a fixture.
- Check for updates on internal team quarrels.
- Examine the weather conditions, the speed and quality of the match lie in the weather.
- Don’t choose odds that are too small (e.g. 1.2-1.4).
Keep Reading:
Analyzing Offensive Versus Defensive Stats For Improved Football Predictions
Uncovering Unexpected Insights For Football Matchups For Predictions
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